Live · Bitcoin 15-minute rounds · Kalshi KXBTC15M

ONE CALL.
EVERY 15 MINUTES.
GRADED IN THE OPEN.

FORTEX follows Bitcoin's 15-minute Kalshi rounds and gives one plain call per round — UP, DOWN or SIT OUT — locked before the close and graded against the official settlement. No edits after the fact.

Informational only — not financial advice. Calls are not orders, and no result is guaranteed. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.

one call per roundlocked at T−8 or earliergraded by Kalshi settlementsit-outs never counted
How it works

THREE STEPS. ONE ROUND AT A TIME.

01

Watch the market

Every round, the bot reads Bitcoin's price against the Kalshi target, plus big-money order flow and resting order-book walls across major exchanges.

02

One call, locked

One official call per 15-minute round, frozen at the T−8 mark — or earlier as an EARLY LOCK when the read is strong. When there's no edge, it sits out.

03

Graded in the open

Each call is graded against Kalshi's official settlement — or as a win once its side's bid reaches the 90¢ take-profit level. Sit-outs are never counted.

One official call per round. Locked 8 minutes before the round closes (the T−8 mark), or earlier when the read is already clear. Once locked it never changes.
Lean calls. When the official call sits out, a separate lean call may lock later in the round. Leans have their own record and never replace the official call.
Take-profit alerts. When the called side's Kalshi bid reaches the 90¢ take-profit level, the dashboard alerts with a notification, sound and voice.
The record

GRADED IN PUBLIC.

The same numbers the live dashboard shows, pulled live. Official and lean-only calls are scored separately.

Official · today
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Official · 7 days
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Official · 60 days
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Lean only · 7 days
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Recent rounds · PT
RoundOfficial callLean callKalshi resultGrade
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Past results never guarantee future ones. See every round on the live dashboard →
Inside the dashboard

EVERYTHING ON ONE SCREEN.

Plain-English cards, live data, nothing hidden behind jargon.

🔒

Official locked call

One call per round, frozen at T−8 or earlier as an EARLY LOCK — UP, DOWN or SIT OUT — with a voice announcement and flip-risk alerts.

🧭

Lean-only call

When the official call sits out, a separate lean call can lock after T−8. It has its own record, kept apart from the official one.

🔔

Take-profit alerts at 90¢

A desktop notification and sound the moment the called side's Kalshi bid reaches 90¢ — counted as a win.

🐋

Whale tug of war

Who is hitting market orders right now: $100K+ whales and $10K+ trades from major exchanges, buyers vs sellers.

🧱

Order-book walls

Big resting buy and sell orders near the price, how long they've stood, and whether they were filled or pulled.

⚖️

Spot vs perp flow

Are spot buyers and perpetual-futures traders pushing the same way? Its own frozen read and record each round.

📡

Market signals read

Eight order-book and flow signals combined into one live read with a checklist — and an alert if it flips after locking.

⛓️

On-chain whale transfers

Large unconfirmed Bitcoin transfers from the public mempool, with known exchange wallets labelled.

FAQ

QUESTIONS, ANSWERED STRAIGHT.

Will following the calls make money?

No one can promise that. Calls can and do lose, and past results don't predict future ones. FORTEX is an informational tool, not financial advice.

What is a 15-minute round?

Kalshi runs a Bitcoin market every 15 minutes (:00, :15, :30, :45). Each has a target price; if BTC settles at or above it, UP wins, otherwise DOWN wins. Settlement uses the CF Benchmarks BRTI index.

When is the call made?

At the T−8 mark — 8 minutes before the round closes — or earlier as an EARLY LOCK if the read is already strong. Once locked it never changes, even if the market moves.

What does SIT OUT mean?

There's no clear edge this round, so no official call is made. Sit-outs are never counted as wins or losses. A separate lean-only call may still lock, scored in its own record.

How is a call graded?

A call wins if its side's Kalshi bid reaches the 90¢ take-profit level after locking, or if Kalshi's official result matches it. Otherwise it's a loss. Nothing is edited afterwards.

Does FORTEX place trades?

No. Calls are not orders, and nothing on this site places or changes trades. Whale flow, order-book walls and the signals read are informational.

Where do the record numbers come from?

From the same live record the dashboard shows. The official and lean records include paper-bot history from before the dashboard was watching, as noted under the record.

The board is live

SEE THIS ROUND'S CALL YOURSELF.

Watch the countdown, the lock and the grade as they happen.

Open the live dashboard →